Futures - Revision history

KateGenevieve: /* LARPs */

2025-04-09T18:52:24Z

LARPs

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	Live Action Role-Playing (LARP), developed by the Nordic LARP community is a playful, immersive and participatory method to engage diverse audiences in exploring contemporary societal challenges and future scenarios. It involves participants role-playing particular characters within time-based creative scenarios to explore different futures and outcomes, engaging audiences in group problem-solving and collective imagination. <ref>op de Beke, Laura. Long Story: Playing With Deep Time. Oslo School of Environmental Humanities, 2022. Web. https://lodbeke.itch.io/long-story-a-deep-time-larp.</ref>		Live Action Role-Playing (LARP), developed by the Nordic LARP community is a playful, immersive and participatory method to engage diverse audiences in exploring contemporary societal challenges and future scenarios. It involves participants role-playing particular characters within time-based creative scenarios to explore different futures and outcomes, engaging audiences in group problem-solving and collective imagination. <ref>op de Beke, Laura. Long Story: Playing With Deep Time. Oslo School of Environmental Humanities, 2022. Web. https://lodbeke.itch.io/long-story-a-deep-time-larp.</ref>

			Playful Readiness Scenarios

			Link to [[Playful Scenarios\|Playful Readiness Scenarios]]

	== Citations ==		== Citations ==

	<references/>		<references/>

KateGenevieve: /* Futures Introduction */

2024-07-13T02:34:19Z

Futures Introduction

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	Futures research, or futures studies, is a broad field that explores potential futures to better understand and prepare for possible changes and developments across various domains, including society, ecologies and technologies.		Futures research, or futures studies, is a broad field that explores potential futures to better understand and prepare for possible changes and developments across various domains, including society, ecologies and technologies.

	There are diverse approaches to Futures, but a key issue across all approaches is the inherent deep uncertainty of the future. This involves a fundamental ambiguity where the range of possible alternatives and outcomes can not be accurately predicted, preventing any clear assignment of probabilities. This uncertainty is particularly critical in the context of the current polycrisis, and the unprecedented challenges associated with climate change, economic instability, social inequality, geopolitical conflict and multi-species justice.		There are diverse approaches to Futures, but a key issue across all approaches is the inherent deep uncertainty of the future. This involves a fundamental ambiguity where the range of possible alternatives and outcomes can not be accurately predicted, preventing any clear assignment of probabilities. This uncertainty is particularly critical in the context of the current polycrisis, and the unprecedented challenges associated with climate change, economic instability, social inequality, geopolitical conflict and multi-species justice. <ref>Haraway, Donna. Staying with the Trouble: Making Kin in the Chthulucene. Duke University Press, 2016</ref>.

	==== Ecological Knowledge ====		==== Ecological Knowledge ====

KateGenevieve: /* Strategic Foresight */

2024-07-13T02:32:30Z

Strategic Foresight

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	==== Strategic Foresight ====		==== Strategic Foresight ====

	During the Cold War, the need to anticipate technological and geopolitical changes led to the refinement of Futures research. ~~Strategic Foresight uses~~ techniques ~~like scenario planning and trend analysis to anticipate~~ and ~~influence future outcomes~~. Governments, businesses, and academic institutions adopted foresight techniques to better anticipate and prepare for a wider range of potential future disruptions amidst rapidly changing events and unpredictable developments. Unlike predictions and forecasting, Strategic Foresight made use of qualitative methods to navigate complex, volatile uncertainty and the “wicked problems” about the future.		During the Cold War, the need to anticipate technological and geopolitical changes led to the refinement of Futures research.
			Over the next sixty years, futures research evolved from basic forecasting to complex, creative methodologies: starting with the RAND Corporation's post-World War Two scenarios, evolving into the systemic thinking of the 1970s, and the development of computational techniques, global modelling and machine learning. Governments, businesses, and academic institutions adopted foresight techniques to better anticipate and prepare for a wider range of potential future disruptions amidst rapidly changing events and unpredictable developments.

			Strategic Foresight uses techniques like scenario planning and trend analysis to anticipate and influence future outcomes. Unlike predictions and forecasting, Strategic Foresight made use of qualitative methods to navigate complex, volatile uncertainty and the “wicked problems” about the future. In recent decades, Sohail Inayatullah's "Six Pillars" framework and causal layered analysis (CLA) transformed futures studies by including multiple perspectives, societal narratives, worldviews, myths and metaphors in commonly used research practices.<ref>Inayatullah, Sohail. "[https://www.metafuture.org/library1/FuturesStudies/Six-pillars-Foresight-2008.pdf Six Pillars: Futures Thinking for Transforming]". Foresight, 10(1), 4-21, 2008.</ref>. This evolution reflects a growing emphasis on complexity, inclusivity, creativity and the weird in anticipatory and readiness research.

	==== Scenarios ====		==== Scenarios ====

KateGenevieve: /* Citations */

2024-07-13T02:00:19Z

Citations

← Older revision		Revision as of 02:00, 13 July 2024
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	Live Action Role-Playing (LARP), developed by the Nordic LARP community is a playful, immersive and participatory method to engage diverse audiences in exploring contemporary societal challenges and future scenarios. It involves participants role-playing particular characters within time-based creative scenarios to explore different futures and outcomes, engaging audiences in group problem-solving and collective imagination. <ref>op de Beke, Laura. Long Story: Playing With Deep Time. Oslo School of Environmental Humanities, 2022. Web. https://lodbeke.itch.io/long-story-a-deep-time-larp.</ref>		Live Action Role-Playing (LARP), developed by the Nordic LARP community is a playful, immersive and participatory method to engage diverse audiences in exploring contemporary societal challenges and future scenarios. It involves participants role-playing particular characters within time-based creative scenarios to explore different futures and outcomes, engaging audiences in group problem-solving and collective imagination. <ref>op de Beke, Laura. Long Story: Playing With Deep Time. Oslo School of Environmental Humanities, 2022. Web. https://lodbeke.itch.io/long-story-a-deep-time-larp.</ref>

	=== Citations ===		== Citations ==

	<references/>		<references/>

KateGenevieve: /* LARPs */

2024-07-13T01:59:00Z

LARPs

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:59, 13 July 2024
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	==== LARPs ====		==== LARPs ====

	Live Action Role-Playing (LARP), developed by the Nordic LARP community is a playful, immersive and participatory method to engage diverse audiences in exploring contemporary societal challenges and future scenarios. It involves participants role-playing particular characters within time-based creative scenarios to explore different futures and outcomes, engaging audiences in group problem-solving and collective imagination.		Live Action Role-Playing (LARP), developed by the Nordic LARP community is a playful, immersive and participatory method to engage diverse audiences in exploring contemporary societal challenges and future scenarios. It involves participants role-playing particular characters within time-based creative scenarios to explore different futures and outcomes, engaging audiences in group problem-solving and collective imagination. <ref>op de Beke, Laura. Long Story: Playing With Deep Time. Oslo School of Environmental Humanities, 2022. Web. https://lodbeke.itch.io/long-story-a-deep-time-larp.</ref>

	=== Citations ===		=== Citations ===

	<references/>		<references/>

KateGenevieve: /* Co-Design with Communities */

2024-07-13T01:56:37Z

Co-Design with Communities

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	==== Co-Design with Communities ====		==== Co-Design with Communities ====

	Co-design promotes bottom-up processes as a means of addressing inclusion and actively welcoming citizen involvement and civic activism into research and design work. Originating from participatory design practices in 1970s Scandinavia, Co-Design invites communities, particularly stakeholders and those directly impacted, into the design processes itself. Co-design methods strive to apply collaborative techniques to both the questions about futures—working out what is needed—and also the design outcomes—how these needs are answered. Often employed in grassroots initiatives, Co-Design is used to engage communities in shaping communal spaces, infrastructure, as well as public policies and new democratic practices and urban governance methods in the hope of actively taking on board the real needs and preferences of people impacted. [See governance, citizens assemblies]		Co-design promotes bottom-up processes as a means of addressing inclusion and actively welcoming citizen involvement and civic activism into research and design work. Originating from participatory design practices in 1970s Scandinavia, Co-Design invites communities, particularly stakeholders and those directly impacted, into the design processes itself. Co-design methods strive to apply collaborative techniques to both the questions about futures—working out what is needed—and also the design outcomes—how these needs are answered. Often employed in grassroots initiatives, Co-Design is used to engage communities in shaping communal spaces, infrastructure, as well as public policies and new democratic practices and urban governance methods in the hope of actively taking on board the real needs and preferences of people impacted. <ref>McKercher, Kelly Ann. Beyond Sticky Notes: Co-Design for Real: Mindsets, Methods, and Movements. Page Two Books, 2020</ref>. [See governance, citizens assemblies]

	==== Decolonial Futures ====		==== Decolonial Futures ====

KateGenevieve: /* Futures Research */

2024-07-13T01:44:47Z

Futures Research

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	==== Futures Research ====		==== Futures Research ====

	In the European context, Futures research became formalised during and after the World Wars, ~~as a result of~~ intense collective ~~focus on anticipating~~ and ~~preparing~~ for future military and geopolitical scenarios. Structured methods for long-term planning, ~~systemic~~ thinking and strategic foresight were elaborated that emphasised prediction and control of future unknowns, attempting to minimise the threat of being blindsided by unforeseen events.		In the European context, Futures research became formalised during and after the World Wars, encouraged by intense collective efforts to anticipate and prepare for future military and geopolitical scenarios. Structured methods for long-term planning, systems thinking and strategic foresight were elaborated that emphasised prediction and control of future unknowns, attempting to minimise the threat of being blindsided by unforeseen events.

	Modern-day Futures studies considers a broad range of potential futures, including ~~social changes,~~ environmental shifts and transformations in science and technology. The interdisciplinary Futures field includes ecology, sociology, economics, anthropology, history, philosophy, Indigenous research and political science, along with various creative ~~techniques~~ across domains for exploring uncertain, complex emergence. ~~This includes scenario planning, performance worlds and imaginative methods, and~~ Decolonial and More-than-Human perspectives ~~that~~ challenge cultural and personal bias, ~~limited assumptions~~ and expectations, and work to expand, enrich ~~and improve imaginative attention~~, planning and policymaking.		Modern-day Futures studies considers a broad range of potential futures, including societal and environmental shifts and transformations in science and technology. The interdisciplinary Futures field includes ecology, sociology, economics, anthropology, history, philosophy, Indigenous research and political science, along with various creative practices across domains for exploring uncertain, complex emergence. Decolonial and More-than-Human perspectives challenge conventional foresight approaches, cultural and personal bias, and limiting frameworks and expectations, whilst practices like scenario planning, performative worlding and imaginative techniques work to expand and enrich envisioning futures, as well as planning and policymaking.

	==== Cybernetics ====		==== Cybernetics ====

KateGenevieve: /* Ecological Knowledge */

2024-07-13T01:37:00Z

Ecological Knowledge

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	==== Ecological Knowledge ====		==== Ecological Knowledge ====

	Indigenous ~~knowledge~~ and ecological attention need to be at the beginning of the story of Futures: collaborative ecological knowledge played a vital role in sustainability and resilience across millennia. ~~The understanding~~ of ecological dynamics and potential futures held in Indigenous communities is deeply rooted in lived ~~relationships~~ with place: these relationships are characterised by reciprocal responsibilities and stewardship. Indigenous Knowledge Systems are not simply about observing the environment, maintaining and renewing relationships with nature and all living beings ~~is part of the protocol~~. <ref>Kyle Powys Whyte, On the role of traditional ecological knowledge as a collaborative concept: a philosophical study. Ecol Process 2, 7, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1186/2192-1709-2-7</ref>. ~~This relational approach grows~~ insight into natural cycles and long-term ecological changes, enabling Indigenous communities to make informed predictions and decisions about situations unfolding. [see Responsibility, Environmental Justice]		Indigenous understandings and ecological attention need to be at the beginning of the story of Futures: collaborative ecological knowledge played a vital role in sustainability and resilience across millennia. Understandings of ecological dynamics and potential futures held in Indigenous communities are deeply rooted in lived relationship with place: these relationships are characterised by reciprocal responsibilities and stewardship. Indigenous Knowledge Systems are not simply about observing the environment, the protocol includes maintaining and renewing relationships with nature and all living beings. <ref>Kyle Powys Whyte, On the role of traditional ecological knowledge as a collaborative concept: a philosophical study. Ecol Process 2, 7, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1186/2192-1709-2-7</ref>. Relational ways of being and knowing grow insight into natural cycles and long-term ecological changes, enabling Indigenous communities to make informed predictions and decisions about situations unfolding. [see Responsibility, Environmental Justice]

	==== Futures Research ====		==== Futures Research ====

KateGenevieve: /* Ecological Knowledge */

2024-07-13T01:26:52Z

Ecological Knowledge

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:26, 13 July 2024
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	==== Ecological Knowledge ====		==== Ecological Knowledge ====

	Indigenous knowledge ~~systems~~ need to be at the beginning of ~~this~~ story~~, having~~ played a vital role in sustainability and resilience ~~for~~ millennia. ~~Understanding~~ of ecological dynamics and potential futures held in Indigenous communities is deeply rooted in lived relationships with place: these relationships are characterised by reciprocal responsibilities and stewardship. Indigenous Knowledge Systems are about ~~more than~~ observing the environment, maintaining and renewing relationships with nature and all living beings is part of the protocol. [Kyle Powys Whyte] This relational approach grows insight into natural cycles and long-term ecological changes, enabling Indigenous communities to make informed predictions and decisions about ~~what is coming~~. [see Responsibility, Environmental Justice]		Indigenous knowledge and ecological attention need to be at the beginning of the story of Futures: collaborative ecological knowledge played a vital role in sustainability and resilience across millennia. The understanding of ecological dynamics and potential futures held in Indigenous communities is deeply rooted in lived relationships with place: these relationships are characterised by reciprocal responsibilities and stewardship. Indigenous Knowledge Systems are not simply about observing the environment, maintaining and renewing relationships with nature and all living beings is part of the protocol. <ref>Kyle Powys Whyte, On the role of traditional ecological knowledge as a collaborative concept: a philosophical study. Ecol Process 2, 7, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1186/2192-1709-2-7</ref>. This relational approach grows insight into natural cycles and long-term ecological changes, enabling Indigenous communities to make informed predictions and decisions about situations unfolding. [see Responsibility, Environmental Justice]

	==== Futures Research ====		==== Futures Research ====

KateGenevieve at 01:17, 13 July 2024

2024-07-13T01:17:28Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:17, 13 July 2024
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	Co-design promotes bottom-up processes as a means of addressing inclusion and actively welcoming citizen involvement and civic activism into research and design work. Originating from participatory design practices in 1970s Scandinavia, Co-Design invites communities, particularly stakeholders and those directly impacted, into the design processes itself. Co-design methods strive to apply collaborative techniques to both the questions about futures—working out what is needed—and also the design outcomes—how these needs are answered. Often employed in grassroots initiatives, Co-Design is used to engage communities in shaping communal spaces, infrastructure, as well as public policies and new democratic practices and urban governance methods in the hope of actively taking on board the real needs and preferences of people impacted. [See governance, citizens assemblies]		Co-design promotes bottom-up processes as a means of addressing inclusion and actively welcoming citizen involvement and civic activism into research and design work. Originating from participatory design practices in 1970s Scandinavia, Co-Design invites communities, particularly stakeholders and those directly impacted, into the design processes itself. Co-design methods strive to apply collaborative techniques to both the questions about futures—working out what is needed—and also the design outcomes—how these needs are answered. Often employed in grassroots initiatives, Co-Design is used to engage communities in shaping communal spaces, infrastructure, as well as public policies and new democratic practices and urban governance methods in the hope of actively taking on board the real needs and preferences of people impacted. [See governance, citizens assemblies]

			==== Decolonial Futures ====

			Decolonial Futures can reference a whole variety of practices that emphasise plural futures and place-based imaginaries. This work is fed by the work of thinkers like Eduardo Viveiros de Castro, who advocate for considering plural, alternative futures rather than speaking about a general singular future for all. <ref>Viveiros de Castro, Eduardo. "Exchanging Perspectives: The Transformation of Objects into Subjects in Amerindian Ontologies." In The Anthropology of Extinction: Essays on Culture and Species Death, edited by Genese Marie Sodikoff, Indiana University Press, 2012, pp. 169-191</ref>. Methods emphasising Decolonial Futures include imaginative and embodied practices, listening and attuning to distinct place-based imaginaries, welcoming perspectives from the Global Majority, from disability work and feminist frameworks, challenging heteronormative and Euro-American biases in future scenario planning.

	==== Performance and Rehearsing the Future ====		==== Performance and Rehearsing the Future ====
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	In the performance field and citizen theatre there is a varied culture of participatory creative social practice aimed at exploring societal transformations. These methods engage communities in performance-based activities that envision and rehearse possible futures, collaboratively getting to know collective challenges from the inside, and acting and improvising in response. Through techniques such as Augusto Boal’s Theatre of the Oppressed and other community-focused performance techniques, these practices aim to open up dialogue, grow relationships in community, and empower participants to shape and reflect upon alternative futures. <ref>Boal, Augusto. 'Theatre of the Oppressed'. Pluto Press, 1979</ref>.		In the performance field and citizen theatre there is a varied culture of participatory creative social practice aimed at exploring societal transformations. These methods engage communities in performance-based activities that envision and rehearse possible futures, collaboratively getting to know collective challenges from the inside, and acting and improvising in response. Through techniques such as Augusto Boal’s Theatre of the Oppressed and other community-focused performance techniques, these practices aim to open up dialogue, grow relationships in community, and empower participants to shape and reflect upon alternative futures. <ref>Boal, Augusto. 'Theatre of the Oppressed'. Pluto Press, 1979</ref>.

	[[File:Theatre_of_the_Oppressed.jpg\|~~left~~\|~~400px]]~~		[[File:Theatre_of_the_Oppressed.jpg\|400px\|Augusto Boal leading a Theatre of the Oppressed workshop]]

	~~==== Decolonial Futures ====~~

	~~Decolonial Futures can reference~~ a ~~whole variety~~ of ~~practices that emphasise plural futures and place-based imaginaries. This work is fed by~~ the work of thinkers like Eduardo Viveiros de Castro, who advocate for considering plural, alternative futures rather than speaking about a general singular future for all. <ref>Viveiros de Castro, Eduardo. "Exchanging Perspectives: The Transformation of Objects into Subjects in Amerindian Ontologies." In The Anthropology of Extinction: Essays on Culture and Species Death, edited by Genese Marie Sodikoff, Indiana University Press, 2012, pp. 169-191</ref>. Methods emphasising Decolonial Futures include imaginative and embodied practices, listening and attuning to distinct place-based imaginaries, welcoming perspectives from the Global Majority, from disability work and feminist frameworks, challenging heteronormative and Euro-American biases in future scenario planning.

	==== LARPs ====		==== LARPs ====